Home > Other - Business Finance > Forex forecast about the EUR/USD?

Forex forecast about the EUR/USD?

July 24th, 2008
forex exchange
Tradefx asked:


What do you think about the eur/usd exchange rate in the short term?

Currently the rate is: 1.3532.

Technically, we see a constant uptrend since yesterday…the last our even was formed the so called tree white soldiers which is a potential signal for an uptrend. However I am not big supporter of the technical analysis since it shows only the current position of the market, but the price is driven by economic events not by charts.
So, talking about economics, here’s the situation about the eur/usd pair:

Euro:
The European Central Bank decided to leave the interest rate unchanged at 3.75% yesterday

USA:
12:30 US Producer Price Index (MoM) (Mar) now:0.6% - was:1.3%
12:30 US Producer Price Index ex Food Energy (MoM) (Mar) now:0.2%- was:0.4%
12:30 US Trade Balance (Feb) now:$60.50B -was:$59.12B

I think the euro is now overbought and as we know from dow jones: the history repeats. So I would sell to reach 20 pips around 1.35.

thanks

OLAZABAL

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Other - Business Finance , ,

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    July 25th, 2008 at 19:53 | #1

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